Roth vs Traditional Calculator

The honest version: it invests the tax savings a Traditional account hands you today - the step bank calculators skip - and shows the break-even retirement tax rate, the single number that actually decides Roth vs Traditional for your 401(k) or IRA.

Winner

Roth by $3,020

Break-even retirement tax rate: 21.54% - Traditional wins below it, Roth wins above.

Roth

After-tax dollars in, tax-free out

$661,226

all yours at retirement

Traditional

Pre-tax in, taxed at withdrawal

$658,206

Retirement account (after tax)
$515,756
Invested tax savings (after tax)
$142,450

You contribute $210,000 over 30 years either way. Roth costs$50,400 in tax up front; Traditional saves you that now to invest instead.

How to use this calculator

  1. Enter what you contribute each year, your years to retirement, and an assumed return (7% is a sober default).
  2. Set your combined federal + state marginal tax rate today, and your best honest guess for retirement.
  3. Keep "invest the tax savings" on for the fair comparison - then toggle it off to see how much Roth pulls ahead if that money gets spent.

How it works: the math

Both accounts receive the same annual contribution, so both grow to the same pre-tax balance. The difference is entirely tax timing. The Roth balance is already yours - contributions were after-tax, so withdrawals are tax-free. The Traditional balance is taxed as income when you withdraw it, at your retirement rate. The honest twist: a Traditional contribution costs less out of pocket today, so the fair comparison invests that upfront tax saving in a regular taxable account (whose gains pay capital-gains tax at the end). Roth vs Traditional then hinges on your tax rate now versus in retirement.

A fully worked example with realistic US numbers. Contribute $7,000 a year for 30 years at 7%, in the 24% bracket now and an expected 22% in retirement. Both accounts grow to about $661,000 pre-tax. The Roth is worth the full $661,226 tax-free. The Traditional account, taxed at 22%, is worth $515,756 - but investing the ~$1,680 yearly tax saving adds another $142,450 after capital-gains tax, for $658,206 total. Roth wins, but by only$3,020 - because your break-even retirement rate is 21.54%, and your assumed 22% sits just above it. Now turn off "invest the tax savings": Roth’s lead jumps to about $145,000, which is the real-world case for Roth for anyone who would spend the refund.

The comparison follows the standard marginal-rate framework the IRS describes forRoth vs pre-tax contributions. It compares marginal rates only and does not model required minimum distributions, IRMAA, Social Security taxation, or a change of state in retirement - several of which quietly favor Roth (no RMDs, no bracket creep).

See how we verify every calculator

Frequently asked questions

Is a Roth or Traditional 401(k) better?

It comes down to one comparison: your tax rate now versus your expected tax rate in retirement. If you will be in a higher bracket later, Roth (pay tax now at the lower rate) wins. If lower later, Traditional wins. The catch most calculators hide: Traditional only keeps up if you actually invest the tax it saves you today - spend that money and Roth wins almost every time.

What is the difference between Roth and Traditional?

Traditional contributions are pre-tax - they lower your taxable income now, grow untaxed, and are taxed as ordinary income when you withdraw in retirement. Roth contributions are after-tax - no deduction today, but growth and qualified withdrawals are completely tax-free. Same annual limits, opposite tax timing. You are really betting on whether your future tax rate is higher or lower than today’s.

Why does investing the tax savings matter so much?

Because it is the only fair comparison. Putting $7,000 into a Traditional account costs you less out of pocket than $7,000 into a Roth, since the Traditional contribution cuts your tax bill today. If you invest that difference, Traditional stays competitive. If you spend it, you have quietly made your Roth contribution the bigger real commitment - which is exactly why Roth usually wins in the real world, where the tax refund gets spent.

What is a break-even retirement tax rate?

It is the retirement tax rate at which Roth and Traditional end up equal. Above it, Roth wins; below it, Traditional wins. This calculator solves for it directly - so instead of guessing, you can ask a concrete question: "do I expect my retirement rate to be above or below this number?" Because the invested tax savings pay some capital-gains tax along the way, the break-even usually sits a little below your current rate.

Should young people always choose Roth?

The common advice - "young and low-earning, so pay the low tax now with Roth" - is usually right, but for a reason beyond tax rates: decades of tax-free compounding in a Roth is enormously valuable, and early-career earners are often in the lowest bracket they will ever see. Run your real numbers above; if your current bracket is well below where you expect to retire, the Roth edge is large.

Can I contribute to both Roth and Traditional?

Yes. You can split contributions between a Roth and a Traditional account in the same year, as long as your combined total stays under the annual IRS limit. Many people deliberately do both to hedge - it gives you tax-free and taxable buckets to draw from in retirement, which helps you control your taxable income year to year once you are withdrawing.

Does my employer match go into Roth or Traditional?

Historically employer match always landed in a pre-tax (Traditional) bucket even if your own contributions were Roth - so a Roth 401(k) saver often ends up with two buckets. SECURE 2.0 now lets employers offer Roth match, but adoption is uneven. Either way, the match is free money and does not count against your personal contribution limit; capture it first, then decide Roth vs Traditional for your own dollars.

What retirement tax rate should I assume?

Be realistic, not optimistic. Many retirees are in a similar or only slightly lower bracket than their working years once you count Social Security, pensions, and required minimum distributions stacking up. A reasonable default is your current rate minus a few points, but if you are a high earner now who will live modestly later, the drop can be larger. Try a range above and watch how close the result gets.

Is a Roth always better because withdrawals are tax-free?

"Tax-free" is seductive but not automatically better - you paid that tax up front, at today’s rate. Roth wins when today’s rate is lower than your future rate; Traditional wins when it is higher. At equal rates the two are nearly identical, with Roth ahead by a hair because the Traditional side investment pays a little capital-gains tax. The tax-free headline matters most when you expect rates - yours or the country’s - to rise.

What does this calculator leave out?

It compares marginal tax rates cleanly, but real retirement taxes have wrinkles it does not model: required minimum distributions pushing you into higher brackets, Medicare IRMAA surcharges, how withdrawals affect Social Security taxation, and moving to a different state. Roth accounts sidestep several of these (no RMDs, no bracket creep), which is a real thumb on the scale in Roth’s favor beyond the raw math here.